Bayesian view on trial statistics:
Jacob Stegenga (2018) Medical Nihilism
https://b-ok.cc/book/3707310/2d3987
NHLBI trial null effects:
Kaplan & Irvin (2015) Likelihood of Null Effects of Large NHLBI Clinical Trials Has Increased over Time
https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0132382
Bayesian low incidence rate uncertainty:
Yasin Memari (2021) Low incidence rate of COVID-19 undermines confidence inestimation of the vaccine efficacy
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2101.10005.pdf
E484K variant mutation effects on vaccine efficacy:Jacqui Wise (2021) Covid-19: The E484K mutation and the risks it poses
https://www.bmj.com/content/372/bmj.n359
Israeli one-dose vaccine data:
Elisabeth Mahase (2021) Covid-19: Reports from Israel suggest one dose of Pfizer vaccine could be less effective than expected
https://www.bmj.com/content/372/bmj.n217
Efficacy of natural infection in preventing reinfection:
Hall et al. (2021) Do antibody positive healthcare workers have lower SARS-CoV-2 infection rates than antibody negative healthcare workers?
http://medrxiv.org/lookup/doi/10.1101/2021.01.13.21249642
Industry prior belief on mRNA effect of 4-10x natural response:
Charles Schmidt (2021) New COVID Vaccines Need Absurd Amounts of Material and Labor
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/new-covid-vaccines-need-absurd-amounts-of-material-and-labor1/
Earlier investigation of mRNA vax production:
Jonas Neubert (2021) Exploring the Supply Chain of the Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna COVID-19 vaccines
https://blog.jonasneubert.com/2021/01/10/exploring-the-supply-chain-of-the-pfizer-biontech-and-moderna-covid-19-vaccines/
Speculation re: mRNA vax formulation bottlenecks:
Derek Lowe (2021) Opinion: A straightforward explanation why more COVID-19 vaccines can’t be produced with help from ‘dozens’ of companies
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/lets-stick-to-facts-about-covid-19-vaccines-there-arent-dozens-of-drug-companies-who-can-step-in-to-produce-more-11612363386
https://www.propublica.org/article/inside-the-fall-of-the-cdc?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter
Medicial Nihilism by Stegenga
We Have Never Been Modern by Bruno Latour
Labratory Life by Bruno Latour